Portuguese Capital Markets Benchmarks
In February 2005, the PSI-20 Share Index reached 7.896,74 points, which translates into an increase of 3,5% compared with the same period last year and a decrease of 1,5% compared to the previous month. The annual volatility fell by 1, 1%, compared to the first month of the year, keeping below the average level registered in the corresponding period. The total turnover in secondary markets was € 11.765,3 million, 30, 2% less than in January 2005. The Regulated Markets and Stock Markets clearly showed a decrease in turnover (-2, 3%), penalized by the following sectors: Investment Units (-31, 4%), Warrants (-20, 8%), Equity Certificates (-4, 1%) and Shares (-2, 9%). The Special Public Debt Market declined by 35, 4% compared to January of the current year. The growth in volume of Certificates (161, 7%) in the EasyNext Lisbon market was a highlight in the Non-Regulated Markets. The global market capitalization registered a positive monthly variation of 2%, confirming the growth in general of the sectors in Regulated Markets, with the exception of Warrants (-5, 2%) and Investment Units (-0, 9%). Whereas in the Non-Regulated Markets, the market capitalization fell 3,8% due to the decline in the sector of Warrants (-7,5%). As regards the Futures Market, the value traded in futures contracts registered, in February, a decrease of 50, 6% compared to the previous month, notwithstanding the increase (18, 8%) in trades of futures on the PSI-20 Index. In the UCITS and Special Investment Funds industry (data refers to January 2005), the values under management decreased by 0, 3% notwithstanding that the number of active funds increased (+1). With regard to Real Estate Investment Funds industry (data refers to January 2005) a new fund was established, increasing the total number of funds to 66 and the Net Asset Value of Funds registered a monthly growth of approximately 0, 4%. PSI-20 Index Table 1 –PSI-20 Index (Values and variation) | | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | Dec 2004 | monthlyΔ | yearly Δ | in the year Δ | | PSI-20 (closing price) | 7.896,7 | 8.016,9 | 7.630,5 | 7.600,2 | -1,5% | 3,5% | 3,9% | Table 2 –PSI-20 Index (Volatility) | PSI-20 | Monthly Values | Accumulated Values | | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | Jan-Feb 2005 | Jan-Feb 2004 | | Volatility (1) | 7,29% | 8,43% | 12,48% | 8,23% | 11,82% | | Maximum(Date) | 8.088,63 (08-Feb) | 8.016,90 (31-Jan) | 7.671,01 (25-Feb) | 8.088,63 (08-Feb) | 7.671,01 (25-Feb) | | Minimum(Date) | 7.851,20 (23-Feb) | 7.604,73 (03-Jan) | 7.023,71 (02-Feb) | 7.604,73 (03-Jan) | 6.786,51 (07-Jan) | | Price Range % (2) | 3,02% | 5,42% | 9,22% | 6,36% | 13,03% | Legend: (1) Annually adjusted volatility = standard deviation of daily returns x v 250 (2) Price Range % = (Maximum-Minimum) / Minimum. Maximum and Minimum refer to closing prices. Table 3 –PSI-20 Portfolio(month end) | Shares | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | monthly Δ | yearly Δ | | TELECOM-N. | 19,599% | 19,984% | 20,268% | -0,385 p.p | -0,285 p.p | | BCP....NPR | 19,494% | 19,277% | 20,332% | 0,217 p.p | -1,055 p.p | | E.D.P.NOM. | 18,404% | 18,524% | 14,690% | -0,12 p.p | 3,834 p.p | | BES.NPR | 9,149% | 8,837% | 10,600% | 0,312 p.p | -1,763 p.p | | BRISA-PRIV | 8,207% | 8,631% | 7,810% | -0,423 p.p | 0,82 p.p | | BANCO BPI | 6,747% | 6,683% | 7,601% | 0,064 p.p | -0,918 p.p | | SONAE SGPS | 5,355% | 5,226% | 4,920% | 0,129 p.p | 0,306 p.p | | PTMULT.NOM | 3,523% | 3,508% | 3,601% | 0,015 p.p | -0,093 p.p | | CIMPORSGPS | 3,316% | 3,212% | 4,787% | 0,105 p.p | -1,576 p.p | | J.MARTINS | 1,556% | 1,463% | 1,155% | 0,093 p.p | 0,308 p.p | | MEDCAPITAL | 1,070% | 1,002% | - | 0,069 p.p | 1,002 p.p | | IMPRESA | 0,805% | 0,830% | 0,676% | -0,025 p.p | 0,154 p.p | | SONAECOM | 0,679% | 0,695% | 0,562% | -0,016 p.p | 0,133 p.p | | SEMAPA.NOM | 0,650% | 0,626% | 0,569% | 0,024 p.p | 0,057 p.p | | COFINA | 0,413% | 0,515% | 0,391% | -0,102 p.p | 0,124 p.p | | PARAREDE | 0,340% | 0,310% | 0,155% | 0,031 p.p | 0,155 p.p | | GESCARTAO | 0,247% | 0,231% | 0,158% | 0,016 p.p | 0,073 p.p | | NOVABASE | 0,196% | 0,194% | 0,258% | 0,002 p.p | -0,064 p.p | | C.AMORIM | 0,180% | 0,180% | 0,307% | 0 p.p | -0,128 p.p | | REDITUS | 0,070% | 0,074% | - | -0,004 p.p | 0,074 p.p | | PORTUCEL.N | - | - | 0,975% | 0 p.p | -0,975 p.p | | SAG GEST | - | - | 0,183% | 0 p.p | -0,183 p.p | | TOTAL | 100,00% | 100,00% | 100,00% | - | - | - Spot Market: Turnover and market capitalization Table 4 – Turnover in the Spot Secondary Market (Monthly Values) Unit: 10^6 Euro | | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | monthly Δ | yearly Δ | | Regulated Markets | 10.366,5 | 14.811,2 | 13.648,7 | -30,0% | -24,0% | | Stock Exchange Markets | 2.346,5 | 2.401,2 | 2.716,2 | -2,3% | -13,6% | | Ordinary Sessions | 2.346,5 | 2.401,2 | 2.716,2 | -2,3% | -13,6% | | Bonds | 27,4 | 15,7 | 25,5 | 74,4% | 7,3% | | Shares | 2.283,2 | 2.350,6 | 2.562,4 | -2,9% | -10,9% | | Participation Bonds | 0,6 | 0,6 | 0,1 | -4,1% | 341,4% | | Investment Trust Units | 0,3 | 0,4 | 0,7 | -31,4% | -62,6% | | Rights | - | - | - | - | - | | Warrants | 18,3 | 23,1 | 117,1 | -20,8% | -84,3% | | Certificates | 2,2 | 1,5 | 4,5 | 41,5% | -51,6% | | Convertibles | 14,5 | 9,1 | 5,9 | 58,9% | 145,6% | | Extraordinary Sessions | - | - | - | - | - | | Special Public Debt Market | 8.020,0 | 12.410,0 | 10.932,5 | -35,4% | -26,6% | | Treasury Bond | 7.230,0 | 10.800,0 | 9.532,5 | -33,1% | -24,2% | | Treasury Bills | 790,0 | 1.610,0 | 1.400,0 | -50,9% | -43,6% | | Non-Regulated Markets | 54,3 | 67,9 | 0,1 | -20,1% | 46957,5% | | Unlisted Market (Euronext Lisbon) | 0,1 | 0,7 | 0,1 | -87,0% | -7,9% | | Shares | 0,1 | 0,7 | 0,1 | -87,0% | -7,9% | | Other securities | - | 0,0 | - | - | - | | EasyNextLisbon (Euronext Lisbon) (1) | 52,9 | 65,5 | 0,0 | -19,2% | - | | Warrants | 41,9 | 61,3 | - | -31,7% | - | | Certificates | 11,1 | 4,2 | - | 161,7% | - | | P EX (2) | 1,2 | 1,7 | 0,0 | -26,4% | 10028,8% | | Off-Market (3) | 1.344,6 | 1.985,6 | 1.225,4 | -32,3% | 9,7% | | TOTAL | 11.765,3 | 16.864,7 | 14.874,3 | -30,2% | -20,9% | Legend: (1) EasyNext Lisbon was created in October 2004 (3) PEX was created in September 2003. (4) Figures are provisional and are taken from the Dathis database, referring only to listed Securities. Data refer to turnover. Table 5 – Turnover in the Spot Secondary Market (Accumulated Values) | | Jan-Feb 2005 | Jan-Feb 2004 | yearly Δ | | Regulated Markets | 25.177,7 | 32.795,6 | -23,2% | | Stock Exchange Markets | 4.747,7 | 4.920,6 | -3,5% | | Ordinary Sessions | 4.747,7 | 4.920,6 | -3,5% | | Bonds | 43,0 | 50,3 | -14,4% | | Shares | 4.633,8 | 4.545,4 | 1,9% | | Participation Bonds | 1,3 | 0,4 | 245,4% | | Investment Trust Units | 0,7 | 1,5 | -53,9% | | Rights | - | - | - | | Warrants | 41,5 | 291,6 | -85,8% | | Certificates | 3,7 | 5,4 | -32,0% | | Convertibles | 23,7 | 26,1 | -9,4% | | Extraordinary Sessions | - | - | - | | Special Public Debt Market | 20.430,0 | 27.875,0 | -26,7% | | Treasury Bond | 18.030,0 | 25.585,0 | -29,5% | | Treasury Bills | 2.400,0 | 2.290,0 | 4,8% | | Non-Regulated Markets | 122,2 | 0,2 | 62330,5% | | Unlisted Market (Euronext Lisbon) | 0,8 | 0,2 | 407,2% | | Shares | 0,8 | 0,2 | 406,8% | | Other securities | 0,0 | - | - | | EasyNextLisbon (Euronext Lisbon) (1) | 118,4 | 0,0 | - | | Warrants | 103,1 | - | - | | Certificates | 15,3 | - | - | | P EX (2) | 2,9 | 0,0 | 8790,0% | | Off-Market (3) | 3.330,2 | 2.800,3 | 18,9% | | TOTAL | 28.630,0 | 35.596,1 | -19,6% | Legend: (1) Structured Market was created in October 2004. (2) PEX was created in September 2003. (3) Figures are provisional and are taken from the Dathis database, referring only to listed Securities. Data refer to turnover. Table 6 – Extraordinary Sessions There were no Extraordinary Sessions this month. Table 7 – Market Capitalization (Euronext Lisbon) Unit: 10^6 Euro | Market Segment | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | Dec 2004 | monthly Δ | yearly Δ | in the year Δ | | Regulated Markets | 175.705,0 | 172.257,9 | 166.137,1 | 169.126,8 | 2,0% | 5,8% | 3,9% | | Bonds | 56.825,5 | 55.081,0 | 64.967,0 | 53.689,3 | 3,2% | -12,5% | 5,8% | | Shares | 116.278,6 | 114.548,2 | 96.770,1 | 112.724,4 | 1,5% | 20,2% | 3,2% | | Participation Bonds | 123,3 | 123,2 | 98,2 | 122,5 | 0,1% | 25,5% | 0,6% | | Investment Trust Units | 242,3 | 244,6 | 385,0 | 243,9 | -0,9% | -37,1% | -0,7% | | Rights | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | - | - | - | | Warrants | 1.077,6 | 1.136,9 | 2.791,2 | 1.258,0 | -5,2% | -61,4% | -14,3% | | Certificates | 422,6 | 412,9 | 407,4 | 413,8 | 2,4% | 3,7% | 2,1% | | Convertibles | 735,0 | 711,2 | 718,1 | 674,8 | 3,3% | 2,4% | 8,9% | | Non-Regulated Markets | 545,4 | 567,2 | 165,5 | 909,3 | -3,8% | 229,5% | -40,0% | | Shares | 176,1 | 170,8 | 165,5 | 539,4 | 3,1% | 6,4% | -67,3% | | Warrants | 340,2 | 367,9 | 0,0 | 369,9 | -7,5% | - | -8,0% | | Certificates | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | - | - | - | | Other securities | 29,1 | 28,4 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,02409 | - | - | | TOTAL | 176.250,4 | 172.825,1 | 166.302,7 | 170.036,1 | 2,0% | 6,0% | 3,7% | - Forward Market Table 8 – Turnover in the Forward Market (Monthly) Unit: 10^6 Euro | | Feb 2005 | Jan 2005 | Feb 2004 | monthly Δ | yearly Δ | | Futures PSI-20 | 12,0 | 10,1 | 126,0 | 18,8% | -90,5% | | Futures on Shares | 6,2 | 26,7 | 25,8 | -76,8% | -75,9% | | Total Futures (1) | 18,2 | 36,8 | 151,8 | -50,6% | -88,0% | | Options PSI-20 | - | - | - | - | - | | Options on Shares | - | - | - | - | - | | Total Options | - | - | - | - | - | Legend: (1) Amounts determined based on the business price Table 9 – Turnover in the Forward Market (Accumulated) Unit: 10^6 Euro | | Jan-Feb 2005 | Jan-Feb 2004 | yearly Δ | | Futures PSI-20 | 22,1 | 232,2 | -90,5% | | Futures on Shares | 32,9 | 48,4 | -31,9% | | Total Futures (1) | 55,0 | 280,5 | -80,4% | | Options PSI-20 | - | - | - | | Options on Shares | - | - | - | | Total Options | - | - | - | - Asset Management: CIS and Property Investment Funds Table 10 –Asset Management (Data refers to the previous month) | | 31-01-2005 | 31-12-2004 | 31-01-2004 | monthly Δ | yearly Δ | | CIS | | | | | | | No. of Funds | 225 | 224 | 215 | 1 | 10 | | Net Asset Value (10^6 Euro) | 24.329,7 | 24.415,1 | 22.892,8 | -0,3% | 6,3% | | Property Investment Funds | | | | | | | No. of Funds | 66 | 65 | 51 | 1 | 15 | | Net Asset Value (10^6 Euro) | 7.081,9 | 7.050,5 | 5.850,4 | 0,4% | 21,0% | Legend: CIS (Colective Investment Schemes) = Colective Investment Undertakings in Transferable Securities and Special Investment Funds. 1The data contained herein is from Dathis, Euronext Lisbon, MTS-Portugal, OPEX and the CMVM (CIS and Property Investment Funds). The information refers to 2005-03-04 . The monthly variation (Δ monthly) refers to the comparison between the month being analysed and the previous month, annual variation (Δ annual) the month being analysed and the homologous one, and in the year variation (Δ in the year) variation value at the end of the current month and the end of the previous year.
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